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Emmy Predictions: Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie – Seth Rogen Circling First Acting Nom for ‘Pam and Tommy’

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UPDATED: June 9, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR TV MOVIE

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY

The supporting actor limited race is full of double, even some possible triple or quadruple dippers from the same series. There’s lots of internal competition across-the-board for all the leading contenders, which could create a couple of shocking inclusions, and exclusions on Emmy nomination morning.

A jack-of-all-trades, Seth Rogen is a double Emmy-nominated artist — writing for “Da Ali G Show” in 2005 and drama series for “The Boys” last year. As an executive producer on Hulu’s take on the Pamela Anderson and Tommy Lee sex tape scandal, the Canadian actor could land two noms, with his acting work as Rand Gauthier being his best shot at Emmy gold – and possibly for “Pam & Tommy” to be recognized in a major way given the competitive nature of the limited series categories.

That includes his co-star – Nick Offerman, who was all over the TV spectrum in the past year. From hosting the Film Independent Spirit Awards with his wife, Megan Mullally, to delivering fantastic performances in “Colin in Black & White” and “The Great North,” he’s superb as Uncle Miltie in Hulu’s true-life series. There could be room for him and co-star in the nomination lineup.

With Amanda Seyfried leading the way for Hulu’s “The Dropout” in the lead actress (limited series) race, her co-star Naveen Andrews could come along as a package deal for Emmy attention. A one-time nominee in supporting actor drama for ABC “Lost” in 2005, he’ll be a welcomed return for AAPI actors so frequently ignored by the Academy. But he won’t be alone in that quest.

William H. Macy is a two-time Emmy winner for the miniseries “Door to Door” in 2003 for lead actor and writing. As his stint as Frank Gallagher in “Shameless” ended last year, the next iteration of his career is blossoming, as shown by his outstanding work as the bald and snippy Richard Fuisz in the Hulu series, which sees many of its actors in the running.

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Courtesy of HBO

An eight-time Emmy nominee, and one-time winner for the informational series “Lost Civilizations” (1995), Sam Waterston delivers an effortless take on George Shultz. He’s also in the conversation (somewhat) for “Grace and Frankie,” and a familiar name can go a long way with Academy voters.

The incomparable Murray Bartlett, who won the Critics Choice prize for his work as the scene-stealing Armond, seems a no-brainer selection for his first Emmy nomination. As the show contends in several categories, he, along with his co-star Jennifer Coolidge, is locked and loaded to lead the charge once nominations are officially announced, pending any unforeseen surprises.

While many of his co-stars have received the lion’s share of notices, Jake Lacy’s work as spoiled brat Shane Patton is undeniably fabulous. As a result, the HBO limited series could receive multiple acting nominations. Behind his co-star Murray Bartlett, he’s the second-most likely candidate for a nom, as long as he can fend off competitors with “meatier” roles.

“Dopesick” has many men in contention, most notably Peter Sarsgaard, who could finally get recognition from the TV Academy for this drama about the opioid crisis. The Hulu series stands a decent chance at being the leading limited series in the lot, making his nomination seem nearly inevitable, although his co-stars could siphon some votes.

That would include Michael Stuhlbarg, who is an actor’s actor, respected and beloved by many, and he delivers a one-two punch in HBO’s “The Staircase” along with his Richard Sackler in Hulu’s moving story about the opioid epidemic. After getting his first Emmy nom for “The Looming Tower” in 2018, a second run at Emmy gold is overdue for the consistently working (and always excellent) thespian.

The Western genre is back in full swing, and that could bring country music superstar Tim McGraw to the shortlist for his work as James Dutton in “1883” from Paramount+. Along with his co-star (and real-life spouse) Faith Hill, he could make history, joining a list of only 10 married couples who have won Emmys in history.

This is not the complete list of submitted contenders. Additions are added (and updated) every Thursday.

Read moreVariety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The Emmy eligibility period runs from June 1, 2021, to May 31, 2022. The deadline for entering programs for Primetime programming and uploading all entry materials is on May 12, 2022, at 6:00 PM PT.

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The programs and potential nominees listed below are incomplete and subject to change. The entire television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: Brett Goldstein, “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)


ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

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Courtesy of HBO

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
RANK CONTENDERS SERIES NETWORK
1 Murray Bartlett “The White Lotus” HBO/HBO Max
2 Naveen Andrews “The Dropout” Hulu
3 William H. Macy “The Dropout” Hulu
4 Peter Sarsgaard “Dopesick” Hulu
5 Michael Stuhlbarg “Dopesick” Hulu
6 Seth Rogen “Pam and Tommy” Hulu
NEXT IN LINE
7 Tim McGraw “1883” Paramount+
8 Jake Lacy “The White Lotus” HBO/HBO Max
9 Sam Waterston “The Dropout” Hulu
10 Nick Offerman “Pam and Tommy” Hulu
OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS
11 Matthew Goode “The Offer” Paramount+
12 Steve Zahn “The White Lotus” HBO/HBO Max
13 Michael Stuhlbarg “The Staircase” HBO/HBO Max
14 Will Poulter “Dopesick” Hulu
15 Ethan Hawke “Moon Knight” Disney+
16 Arian Moayed “Inventing Anna” Netflix
17 Wyatt Russell “Under the Banner of Heaven” FX
18 Nick Robinson “Maid” Netflix
19 O-T Fagbenle “The First Lady” Showtime
20 Jon Voight “Ray Donovan: The Movie” Showtime
ALSO IN CONTENTION
21 Kyle Marvin “WeCrashed” Apple TV+
22 Christian Slater “Dr. Death” Peacock
23 Nick Offerman “Colin in Black and White” Netflix
24 John Leguizamo “The Survivor” HBO/HBO Max
25 Rupert Friend “Anatomy of a Scandal” Netflix
26 Daniel Dae Kim “The Hot Zone: Anthrax” National Geographic
27 Glynn Turman “Women of the Movement” ABC
28 Shea Whigham “Gaslit” Starz
29 Walton Goggins “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” Apple TV+
30 Aaron Eckhart “The First Lady” Showtime
UNRANKED CONTENDERS
Alec Baldwin “Dr. Death” Peacock
Alex Newell “Zoey’s Extraordinary Christmas” The Roku Channel
Anders Holm “Inventing Anna” Netflix
Andrew Scott “The Pursuit of Love” Amazon Prime Video
Babak Tafti “Super Pumped: The Battle for Uber” Showtime
Ben Radcliffe “Anatomy of a Scandal” Netflix
Benjamin Bratt “DMZ” HBO/HBO Max
Billy Magnussen “The Survivor” HBO/HBO Max
Billy Zane “True Story” Netflix
Clive Owen “Lisey’s Story” Apple TV+
Colin Hanks “Impeachment: American Crime Story” FX
Colton Ryan “The Girl from Plainville” Hulu
Cornell Womack “The Shrink Next Door” Apple TV+
Damon Gupton “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” Apple TV+
Damon Herriman “The Tourist” HBO/HBO Max
Dan Fogler “The Offer” Paramount+
Dan Stevens “Gaslit” Starz
Dane Dehaan “Lisey’s Story” Apple TV+
David Oyelowo “The Girl Before” HBO/HBO Max
David Wilmot “Station Eleven” HBO/HBO Max
Dominic West “The Pursuit of Love” Amazon Prime Video
Dylan Baker “The Hot Zone: Anthrax” National Geographic
Evan Peters “American Horror Story: Double Feature” FX
Fred Hechinger “The White Lotus” HBO/HBO Max
Gaspard Ulliel “Moon Knight” Disney+
Hugh Laurie “Why Didn’t They Ask Evans” BritBox
Jamie Hector “We Own This City” HBO/HBO Max
Jason Segel “The Sky is Everywhere” Apple TV+
Jeff Perry “Inventing Anna” Netflix
Joe Alwyn “Conversations with Friends” Hulu
John Lithgow “Live in Front of a Studio Audience: ‘The Facts of Life’ and ‘Diff’rent Strokes’” ABC
Jon Bass “Super Pumped: The Battle for Uber” Showtime
Josh Charles “We Own This City” HBO/HBO Max
Joshua McGuire “Anatomy of a Scandal” Netflix
Justin Chambers “The Offer” Paramount+
Kelsey Grammer “Dr. Death” Peacock
Kiefer Sutherland “The First Lady” Showtime
Kyle Chandler “Super Pumped: The Battle for Uber” Showtime
Kyle MacLachlan “Joe vs. Carole” Peacock
Lukas Gage “The White Lotus” HBO/HBO Max
McKinley Belcher III “We Own This City” HBO/HBO Max
Michael Ealy “The Woman in the House Across the Street from the Girl in the Window” Netflix
O-T Fagbenle “WeCrashed” Apple TV+
Omar Benson Miller “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” Apple TV+
Pablo Schreiber “Candy” Hulu
Paul Adelstein “True Story” Netflix
Peter Sarsgaard “The Survivor” HBO/HBO Max
Richard McCabe “A Very British Scandal” Amazon Prime Video
Ron Cephas Jones “Lisey’s Story” Apple TV+
Scott Eastwood “I Want You Back” Amazon Prime Video
Snoop Dogg “Live in Front of a Studio Audience: ‘The Facts of Life’ and ‘Diff’rent Strokes’” ABC
Stephen Graham “Time” BritBox
Terry Kinney “Inventing Anna” Netflix
Theo Rossi “True Story” Netflix
Wesley Snipes “True Story” Netflix
Will Arnett “Live in Front of a Studio Audience: ‘The Facts of Life’ and ‘Diff’rent Strokes’” ABC
Will Catlett “True Story” Netflix
Zach Gilford “Midnight Mass” Netflix

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Supporting Actor Limited Series/TV Movie)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television’s most prestigious artistic award. Many records are held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

For wins: The rules for this category have changed many times over the years, but as it stands, Beau Bridges is the only actor ever to win this race more than once – “The Positively True Adventures of the Alleged Texas Cheerleader-Murdering Mom” (1993) and “The Second Civil War” (1997).

For nominations: The late Brian Dennehy is the most nominated actor in this category with four nods, followed by Beau Bridges, John Gielgud, John Malkovich, Joe Mantegna and Michael K. Williams with three apiece.


2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.




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